Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 9.067853e-04 0.001044 0.001184 0.001335 0.001494 0.001656 0.001832
2025-07-06 7.695701e-04 0.000972 0.001185 0.001422 0.001679 0.001945 0.002240
2025-07-13 5.845600e-04 0.000825 0.001089 0.001392 0.001728 0.002083 0.002484
2025-07-20 4.182074e-04 0.000679 0.000978 0.001334 0.001737 0.002171 0.002668
2025-07-27 3.352381e-04 0.000618 0.000956 0.001369 0.001845 0.002363 0.002963
2025-08-03 2.434113e-04 0.000533 0.000897 0.001355 0.001892 0.002485 0.003177
2025-08-10 1.440761e-04 0.000419 0.000791 0.001277 0.001859 0.002513 0.003284
2025-08-17 8.446649e-05 0.000346 0.000729 0.001245 0.001876 0.002593 0.003445
2025-08-24 3.045450e-05 0.000256 0.000633 0.001165 0.001831 0.002598 0.003519
2025-08-31 8.614004e-06 0.000210 0.000592 0.001150 0.001861 0.002687 0.003685
2025-09-07 6.959605e-07 0.000183 0.000576 0.001165 0.001925 0.002815 0.003895
2025-09-14 NaN 0.000138 0.000524 0.001129 0.001924 0.002864 0.004012
2025-09-21 NaN 0.000102 0.000492 0.001134 0.001994 0.003022 0.004285
2025-09-28 NaN 0.000097 0.000516 0.001221 0.002171 0.003310 0.004714
2025-10-05 NaN 0.000059 0.000465 0.001196 0.002205 0.003429 0.004947
2025-10-12 NaN 0.000024 0.000399 0.001144 0.002200 0.003499 0.005122
2025-10-19 NaN 0.000014 0.000391 0.001178 0.002309 0.003707 0.005459
2025-10-26 NaN 0.000003 0.000355 0.001166 0.002354 0.003835 0.005702
2025-11-02 NaN NaN 0.000288 0.001093 0.002314 0.003856 0.005816
2025-11-09 NaN NaN 0.000250 0.001064 0.002330 0.003946 0.006009
2025-11-16 NaN NaN 0.000192 0.000990 0.002279 0.003949 0.006098
2025-11-23 NaN NaN 0.000167 0.000976 0.002312 0.004056 0.006310
2025-11-30 NaN NaN 0.000157 0.000990 0.002385 0.004213 0.006581